| Market | CLE | LAA |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -158 | +147 |
| Run line | -1.5 | |
| Total 7.5 | Over -114 | Under -106 |
| CLE | LAA | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| Break-even at the price | 61.2% | 40.5% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this CLE 60.2%, LAA 39.8%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
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