// MLB · August 24, 2026

Phillies at Mariners

8/24 - 9:40 PM EDT · T-Mobile Park · PHI 73-58 — SEA 62-69 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketPHISEA
Moneyline-108+101
Run line-1.5
Total 6.5Over -122Under +102

What the market really thinks

PHISEA
Win chance (no-vig)51.1%48.9%
Break-even at the price51.9%49.8%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this PHI 51.1%, SEA 48.9%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

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