// MLB · August 25, 2026

Red Sox at Marlins

8/25 - 6:40 PM EDT · loanDepot park · BOS 72-59 — MIA 67-65 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketBOSMIA
Moneyline-140+131
Run line-1.5
Total 7Over -118Under -101

What the market really thinks

BOSMIA
Win chance (no-vig)57.4%42.6%
Break-even at the price58.3%43.3%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.6% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this BOS 57.4%, MIA 42.6%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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