// MLB · August 25, 2026

Cubs at Diamondbacks

8/25 - 9:40 PM EDT · Chase Field · CHC 76-56 — ARI 69-63 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketCHCARI
Moneyline-108+101
Run line-1.5
Total 8Over -115Under -105

What the market really thinks

CHCARI
Win chance (no-vig)51.1%48.9%
Break-even at the price51.9%49.8%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this CHC 51.1%, ARI 48.9%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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