| Market | HOU | NYY |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +131 | -140 |
| Run line | +1.5 | |
| Total 8.5 | Over -117 | Under -103 |
| HOU | NYY | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Break-even at the price | 43.3% | 58.3% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.6% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this HOU 42.6%, NYY 57.4%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.