| Market | ARI | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -105 | -103 |
| Run line | -1.5 | |
| Total 8 | Over -107 | Under -112 |
| ARI | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Break-even at the price | 51.2% | 50.7% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (2.0% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this ARI 50.2%, SF 49.8%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.