| Market | BAL | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -124 | +116 |
| Run line | -1.5 | |
| Total 8 | Over -108 | Under -112 |
| BAL | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Break-even at the price | 55.4% | 46.3% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.6% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this BAL 54.5%, STL 45.5%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.