| Market | HOU | NYY |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +143 | -154 |
| Run line | +1.5 | |
| Total 8 | Over -119 | Under -102 |
| HOU | NYY | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Break-even at the price | 41.2% | 60.6% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.8% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this HOU 40.4%, NYY 59.6%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.