| Market | PIT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +122 | -146 |
| Run line | +3 | |
| Total 34.5 | Over -105 | Under -115 |
| PIT | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Break-even at the price | 45.0% | 59.3% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.4% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this PIT 43.1%, BUF 56.9%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.