// NFL · August 27, 2026

49ers at Raiders

8/27 - 8:00 PM EDT · Allegiant Stadium · SF 1-1 — LV 1-1 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketSFLV
Moneyline+132-159
Run line+3
Total 38.5Over -108Under -112

What the market really thinks

SFLV
Win chance (no-vig)41.2%58.8%
Break-even at the price43.1%61.4%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.5% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this SF 41.2%, LV 58.8%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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