| Market | ATL | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -189 | +155 |
| Run line | -4.5 | |
| Total 35.5 | Over -110 | Under -110 |
| ATL | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Break-even at the price | 65.4% | 39.2% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.6% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this ATL 62.5%, MIA 37.5%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.