| Market | HOU | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 | +104 |
| Run line | -1.5 | |
| Total 36.5 | Over -115 | Under -105 |
| HOU | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| Break-even at the price | 55.6% | 49.0% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.6% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this HOU 53.1%, CAR 46.9%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.