// MLB · August 28, 2026

Astros at Mets

8/28 - 7:10 PM EDT · Citi Field · HOU 67-67 — NYM 60-74 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketHOUNYM
Moneyline-105-102
Run line-1.5
Total 7.5Over -117Under -103

What the market really thinks

HOUNYM
Win chance (no-vig)50.4%49.6%
Break-even at the price51.2%50.5%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this HOU 50.4%, NYM 49.6%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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