// MLB · August 28, 2026

Royals at Guardians

8/28 - 7:10 PM EDT · Progressive Field · KC 60-75 — CLE 68-66 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketKCCLE
Moneyline+120-129
Run line+1.5
Total 7.5Over +100Under -121

What the market really thinks

KCCLE
Win chance (no-vig)44.7%55.3%
Break-even at the price45.5%56.3%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.8% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this KC 44.7%, CLE 55.3%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

Inside the Number · every game priced at what the market really thinks · insidethenumber.com · 21+ only. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.