// MLB · August 28, 2026

Marlins at Nationals

8/28 - 6:45 PM EDT · Nationals Park · MIA 68-66 — WSH 63-73 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketMIAWSH
Moneyline-134+125
Run line-1.5
Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

What the market really thinks

MIAWSH
Win chance (no-vig)56.3%43.7%
Break-even at the price57.3%44.4%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this MIA 56.3%, WSH 43.7%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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