| Market | MIN | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +150 | -182 |
| Run line | +3.5 | |
| Total 37.5 | Over -110 | Under -110 |
| MIN | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| Break-even at the price | 40.0% | 64.5% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.5% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this MIN 38.3%, DEN 61.7%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.