// NFL · August 28, 2026

Commanders at Ravens

8/28 - 6:00 PM EDT · M&T Bank Stadium · WSH 1-1 — BAL 2-0 · lines via Draft Kings

The prices

MarketWSHBAL
Moneyline+143-177
Run line+4.5
Total 34.5Over -115Under -105

What the market really thinks

WSHBAL
Win chance (no-vig)39.2%60.8%
Break-even at the price41.2%63.9%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (5.0% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this WSH 39.2%, BAL 60.8%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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