// NFL · August 29, 2026

Lions at Colts

8/29 - 1:00 PM EDT · Lucas Oil Stadium · DET 1-1 — IND 0-1-1 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketDETIND
Moneyline+113-139
Run line+2.5
Total 36.5Over -108Under -112

What the market really thinks

DETIND
Win chance (no-vig)44.7%55.3%
Break-even at the price46.9%58.2%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (5.1% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this DET 44.7%, IND 55.3%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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