// NFL · August 29, 2026

Lions at Colts

8/29 - 1:00 PM EDT · Lucas Oil Stadium · DET 1-1 — IND 0-1-1 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketDETIND
Moneyline+143-174
Run line+3.5
Total 35.5Over -112Under -108

What the market really thinks

DETIND
Win chance (no-vig)39.3%60.7%
Break-even at the price41.2%63.5%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this DET 39.3%, IND 60.7%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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