| Market | HAW | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +164 | -198 |
| Run line | +4.5 | |
| Total 48.5 | Over -112 | Under -108 |
| HAW | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 36.3% | 63.7% |
| Break-even at the price | 37.9% | 66.4% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.3% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this HAW 36.3%, STAN 63.7%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.