// MLB · August 29, 2026

Astros at Mets

8/29 - 4:10 PM EDT · Citi Field · HOU 68-67 — NYM 60-75 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketHOUNYM
Moneyline+121-130
Run line+1.5
Total 8Over -108Under -112

What the market really thinks

HOUNYM
Win chance (no-vig)44.5%55.5%
Break-even at the price45.2%56.5%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.8% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this HOU 44.5%, NYM 55.5%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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