// MLB · August 29, 2026

Royals at Guardians

8/29 - 4:10 PM EDT · Progressive Field · KC 61-75 — CLE 68-67 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketKCCLE
Moneyline+138-148
Run line+1.5
Total 8Over -106Under -114

What the market really thinks

KCCLE
Win chance (no-vig)41.3%58.7%
Break-even at the price42.0%59.7%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this KC 41.3%, CLE 58.7%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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