| Market | MEM | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +154 | -185 |
| Run line | +4 | |
| Total 55.5 | Over -115 | Under -105 |
| MEM | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Break-even at the price | 39.4% | 64.9% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.3% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this MEM 37.8%, UNLV 62.2%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.