| Market | NMSU | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +3000 | -10000 |
| Run line | +31.5 | |
| Total 53.5 | Over -112 | Under -108 |
| NMSU | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 3.2% | 96.8% |
| Break-even at the price | 3.2% | 99.0% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (2.2% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this NMSU 3.2%, FSU 96.8%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.