| Market | UNC | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +260 | -325 |
| Run line | +7.5 | |
| Total 46.5 | Over -105 | Under -115 |
| UNC | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Break-even at the price | 27.8% | 76.5% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.2% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this UNC 26.6%, TCU 73.4%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.