// MLB · August 30, 2026

Pirates at Cardinals

8/30 - 2:15 PM EDT · Busch Stadium · PIT 66-71 — STL 68-69 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketPITSTL
Moneyline-119+111
Run line-1.5
Total 8Over -101Under -119

What the market really thinks

PITSTL
Win chance (no-vig)53.4%46.6%
Break-even at the price54.3%47.4%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this PIT 53.4%, STL 46.6%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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