| Market | BAL | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -130 | +121 |
| Run line | -1.5 | |
| Total 11 | Over +100 | Under -120 |
| BAL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Break-even at the price | 56.5% | 45.2% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.8% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this BAL 55.5%, COL 44.5%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.