// MLB · August 31, 2026

White Sox at Astros

8/31 - 8:10 PM EDT · Daikin Park · CHW 72-64 — HOU 69-68 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketCHWHOU
Moneyline+119-127
Run line+1.5
Total 8.5Over -107Under -112

What the market really thinks

CHWHOU
Win chance (no-vig)44.9%55.1%
Break-even at the price45.7%55.9%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.6% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this CHW 44.9%, HOU 55.1%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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