// MLB · August 31, 2026

Mets at Rays

8/31 - 6:40 PM EDT · Tropicana Field · NYM 61-76 — TB 82-54 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketNYMTB
Moneyline+168-181
Run line+1.5
Total 8Over -104Under -116

What the market really thinks

NYMTB
Win chance (no-vig)36.7%63.3%
Break-even at the price37.3%64.4%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this NYM 36.7%, TB 63.3%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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