// MLB · August 31, 2026

Phillies at Diamondbacks

8/31 - 9:40 PM EDT · Chase Field · PHI 77-60 — ARI 73-65 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketPHIARI
Moneyline-118+110
Run line-1.5
Total 8.5Over -102Under -119

What the market really thinks

PHIARI
Win chance (no-vig)53.2%46.8%
Break-even at the price54.1%47.6%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.8% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this PHI 53.2%, ARI 46.8%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

Inside the Number · every game priced at what the market really thinks · insidethenumber.com · 21+ only. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.