| Market | BAL | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -144 | +119 |
| Run line | -1.5 | |
| Total 11 | Over -118 | Under -102 |
| BAL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| Break-even at the price | 59.0% | 45.7% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this BAL 56.4%, COL 43.6%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.