| Market | MIA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Run line | -1.5 | |
| Total 9.5 | Over -114 | Under -106 |
| MIA | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Break-even at the price | 50.0% | 54.5% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.5% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this MIA 47.8%, KC 52.2%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.