// MLB · September 1, 2026

Mets at Rays

9/1 - 6:40 PM EDT · Tropicana Field · NYM 62-76 — TB 82-55 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketNYMTB
Moneyline+116-124
Run line+1.5
Total 8Over -106Under -114

What the market really thinks

NYMTB
Win chance (no-vig)45.5%54.5%
Break-even at the price46.3%55.4%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.6% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this NYM 45.5%, TB 54.5%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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