| Market | SD | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -143 | +119 |
| Run line | -1.5 | |
| Total 9 | Over -117 | Under -103 |
| SD | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance (no-vig) | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Break-even at the price | 58.8% | 45.7% |
Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.5% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this SD 56.3%, CIN 43.7%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.
Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.