// MLB · September 1, 2026

Giants at Pirates

9/1 - 6:40 PM EDT · PNC Park · SF 57-81 — PIT 67-71 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketSFPIT
Moneyline+147-158
Run line+1.5
Total 7.5Over -113Under -106

What the market really thinks

SFPIT
Win chance (no-vig)39.8%60.2%
Break-even at the price40.5%61.2%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (1.7% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this SF 39.8%, PIT 60.2%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

Inside the Number · every game priced at what the market really thinks · insidethenumber.com · 21+ only. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.