// MLB · September 1, 2026

Blue Jays at Guardians

9/1 - 6:40 PM EDT · Progressive Field · TOR 68-70 — CLE 69-68 · lines via DraftKings

The prices

MarketTORCLE
Moneyline+153-186
Run line+1.5
Total 8Over -106Under -113

What the market really thinks

TORCLE
Win chance (no-vig)37.8%62.2%
Break-even at the price39.5%65.0%

Both posted prices together imply more than 100% — that surplus (4.6% here) is what the book keeps. Strip it out and the market makes this TOR 37.8%, CLE 62.2%. The break-even row is the win rate you'd need at the posted price just to tread water — the gap between the two rows is the cost of the bet.

Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.

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