| Market | UAPB | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | — | — |
| Run line | +54.5 | |
| Total 61.5 | Over -112 | Under -108 |
| Market-implied pick | Win chance | Projected score |
|---|---|---|
| Missouri | no line posted | Missouri 58, AR-Pine Bluff 4 |
Strip the book's cut out and the market calls this a Missouri win as the overwhelmingly likely outcome. The book has not posted a moneyline on this one at all, which is what happens when a price would be so lopsided it stops being a market. The number to look at here is the total, not the side. On the total, the under is the cheaper side of 61.5 at the posted prices. The projected score is the posted total split by the spread — the market's own expected margin, not a model of ours. Our own side on this game, if we take one, goes out in the newsletter before kickoff.
We take a side on three or four games a day and send every one to subscribers with the reasoning, before anything starts. One is free on the homepage. The rest only go out by email. No card, no spam.
Get every pick free →Prices move all day. The live version of this game — score, line movement and the rest of the board — is on today's board.